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Friday, January 25, 2008

Recessions: They're Not So Bad

Did you know historically the S&P has jumped big time in the period immeidately following a recession? Specifically, during a recession the S&P remains unchanged but in the six months after a recession it explodes, explains Dylan Ratigan, charging 12% higher on average.

If we’re in a recession, I think investors ought to be in consumer staples, healthcare and material stocks says Jon Najarian. Here’s why.

SECTORS DURING RECESSION (RELATIVE TO S&P 500)
Sector ETF % Change
Health Care XLV +5%
Materials XLB +2%
Consumer Staples XLP +10%

Source: Birinyi Associates

Also, have some put protection in place along with owning the underlying stocks, Najarian counsels. And even if the recession doesn't play out names that I think will perform well either way include Merck (MRK), Dow Chemical (DOW), Monsanto (MON) and Procter & Gamble (PG).

I agree, says Guy Adami, of course it depends on where we are in the cycle. It’s quite possible that by spring Monsanto, as well as Freeport McMoRan (FCX) and Potash (POT) could all go a lot higher...from cnbc.com

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